Canada Halts Trade Talks; 50% Tariffs Hit
Canada Halts Trade Talks; 50% Tariffs Hit
The News
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended trade negotiations with the United States late Friday, allowing new 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $20 billion worth of Canadian goods to take effect at the stroke of midnight.
Carney said progress in the talks "has not been enough to meet our objectives for Canadians" and that he had "directed Canada's negotiators to return to Ottawa," according to an emailed statement reported by NBC News.
He said Canada will hit back immediately: "Canada will match those tariffs dollar for dollar to protect our workers and businesses."
The duties cover hockey sticks, some building materials, liquors and certain kinds of clothing, according to the U.S. Trade Representative's office.
Timeline
Bloomberg reported that American negotiators had agreed to lower existing tariffs on cars and metals from 25% to 15%, NBC News said. The same day, Vice President JD Vance told a private fundraiser that Carney had tried to "out-tough Donald Trump," according to a leaked audio recording reported by the Canadian Press and cited by the BBC.
Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc met U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer for more than three hours and told reporters the two sides were "very close." Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew publicly urged Canada to "fight" instead of conceding.
Negotiators met again and talks stretched into the final hours of the day. President Trump said the U.S. "should be able to have a deal with Canada," Deutsche Welle reported. Late that night, Carney suspended the talks.
The 50% tariffs take effect on about $20 billion of Canadian imports.
Reactions
Greer called the collapse a "missed opportunity for Canada," The New York Times reported.
Greer has previously framed the 50% duties as payback for Ottawa's retaliation against earlier rounds of Trump tariffs. "I've got two countries in the world that have retaliated against the United States for trade measures: the People's Republic of China and Canada," he said. "That's not the kind of company you really want to be running in."
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce warned this week that "higher tariffs would damage both economies, drive up costs for U.S. families, further disrupt critical supply chains, and risk the 13 million American jobs that depend on" the North American trade pact.
Kinew, the Manitoba premier, called Trump "erratic, he's irresponsible, and he's not to be trusted" and questioned giving up leverage by restoring U.S. alcohol sales in Canadian liquor stores. If forced to restore them, he said, Canadians should "let it sit on the shelf."
Conservative opposition leader Pierre Poilievre said "one-sided tariffs on Canadian industry would be a bad deal."
Carney has previously said Trump's threatened tariffs would amount to a "direct violation" of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which Trump negotiated and signed in his first term.
What's Next
Carney says retaliatory Canadian tariffs matching the U.S. measures dollar for dollar are coming, which would escalate the dispute into a two-way trade war between the two economies.
The new tariffs are all but certain to be challenged in court, NBC News reported. They were imposed under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 — a provision that has never been deployed before, and which lets the White House impose duties of up to 50% on any trading partner that "discriminates" against U.S. commerce.
Mexico is watching closely. Its top trade negotiator said he is optimistic Mexico can secure less burdensome U.S. terms on cars and steel, similar to the revised measures Washington had been discussing with Canada, Bloomberg and Reuters reported.
More
The sticking points were domestic as much as diplomatic. Carney needed Canada's provincial premiers to lift their bans on American alcohol sales, and Canada was said to be weighing greater market access for American dairy producers and the removal of its retaliatory tariffs, the BBC reported. Quebec Premier Christine Frechette said Thursday she was still analyzing the request; Ontario's Doug Ford stayed silent; Nova Scotia and the Yukon said they were ready to restore U.S. alcohol sales.
Leaked details reported by the BBC had the U.S. cutting tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum from 50% to 25% and on Canadian automobiles from 25% to 15% as part of the deal that never landed.
Calgary-based economist Trevor Tombe estimated in an analysis published Thursday that Canada could lose 90,000 jobs if the new tariffs were implemented. A Leger poll cited by the BBC found 56% of Canadians surveyed wanted their government to take a hardline approach.
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