Fed Set to Hike Rates, Defying Trump

Fed Set to Hike Rates, Defying Trump

Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve chairman, in a hedcut engraving portrait
Kevin Warsh, the new Federal Reserve chairman, is set to raise interest rates on Wednesday, opposing President Trump's preferred policy direction.Illustration: The Frank

The News

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise its short-term interest rate on Wednesday to fight stubbornly high inflation — the first increase in three years, and a direct break with President Donald Trump, who has pushed for a cut.

Bloomberg reports policymakers have lost confidence that inflation will cool enough without at least a nudge from the central bank.

It would be the Fed's first hike since 2023, according to Bloomberg, and the decision is the first major test of chairman Kevin Warsh.

Warsh holds a briefing after the meeting, PBS NewsHour reports.

What Markets Are Doing

The dollar held recent gains and traded near multi-week highs against a handful of major currencies ahead of the decision, Reuters reports, with traders betting on the first of what could be several U.S. rate hikes.

MarketWatch reports investors are largely anticipating the hike — and that a single increase is not what is creating angst on Wall Street. WGAL calls the meeting a pivotal moment for the bond market.

Timeline

2023

The last time the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, per Bloomberg.

Before Warsh

Trump berated then-chairman Jerome Powell for years as he pressured him to cut rates, NBC News reports.

Sept. 15, 2026

Previews from Bloomberg, PBS NewsHour, MarketWatch and WGAL say a hike is widely expected at the meeting.

Sept. 16, 2026

The Fed announces its decision, followed by a briefing from Warsh.

Reactions

Trump has backed a rate cut, PBS NewsHour reports — the opposite of what the Fed is expected to deliver. NBC News frames the president and the central bank as on a collision course over rates, noting Trump's long campaign of public pressure on Powell.

On the right, Citizen Free Press previewed the meeting as a straight question about the new chairman: what will Kevin Warsh do with rates.

In markets, Reuters reports traders are positioning for a hiking cycle rather than a one-off move.

What's Next

The Fed's decision lands Wednesday, with Warsh taking questions at a post-meeting briefing that PBS NewsHour plans to carry live.

The bigger question for investors, per MarketWatch and Reuters, is not Wednesday's move but whether it is the start of a series of hikes — and how far the Fed is willing to go against the White House.

More

The cluster's seven sources span the spectrum — Reuters, Bloomberg, PBS NewsHour, MarketWatch and WGAL in the center, NBC News center-left, Citizen Free Press on the right — and all of them describe the same expectation: rates go up.

None of the previews pin down the exact size of the increase ahead of the announcement.

Poll

Should the Fed raise interest rates to fight inflation?

Yes — inflation is still too high
0.0%
No — cut rates instead
0.0%
Hold steady for now
0.0%
Not sure
0.0%

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