Himalaya Flood Kills 600; Building Boom Questioned
Himalaya Flood Kills 600; Building Boom Questioned
The News
A glacier collapse on the China-Nepal border has killed more than 600 people and left around 2,500 missing on both sides, and Chinese authorities said Saturday that the debris lake threatening rescue crews downstream is shrinking rather than bursting.
The wall of rock, ice, mud and water that came down Wednesday wiped out villages, roads, bridges and hydropower stations, and swept away the border port complex linking China's Tibet to Nepal.
The devastation has landed on a region in the middle of a historic construction push, CNN reported — dams, tunnels, highways, railways and bridges going up across some of the most seismically and ecologically fragile terrain on earth.
The Second Lake
Authorities have flagged a larger body of water at the bottom of the glacier collapse. "We estimate its area to be over 120,000 square meters, but its depth is currently unknown," said Chen Hongqi, a senior engineer at the Ministry of Natural Resources' Geological Disaster Technical Guidance Center, according to Reuters.
An official with Nepal's Disaster Management Authority said flood risks remain until both lakes have fully drained. In rain on Saturday morning, more than 50 rescue workers were combing rubble and calling out for survivors, CCTV reported. Xinhua said cut roads and communications continue to hamper relief.
The Building Boom
There is no indication the disaster was linked to manmade development, CNN reported. But it hit a region where governments are racing to harness hydropower, minerals and tourism — and to fortify contested borders.
China is building a $168 billion megadam on Tibet's Yarlung Tsangpo river, which broke ground last July and is expected to generate more electricity than any project in the world. India's largest state-backed hydropower firm is pushing an 11,200-megawatt dam downstream. Nepal has been expanding hydropower along Himalayan rivers, at times financed by its two larger neighbors as they compete for influence.
The cost this week was immediate: more than 430 megawatts of Nepali power went offline after 12 dams were hit by floodwaters, with damage to under-construction projects accounting for another 470 megawatts, according to Nepal's Ministry for Energy, Water Resources and Irrigation.
Timeline
Part of a glacier breaks off near the Nepal-Tibet border and plunges into the Lhende Khola river, triggering a landslide and a torrent through Himalayan river systems, according to Asia Times.
China's state-owned engineering and rescue firm China Anneng begins monitoring a barrier lake formed by glacier debris at the confluence of two rivers on the border.
An overflow from the lake temporarily halts rescue work before officials judge the risk manageable. China Anneng sends a 15-member team with reconnaissance drones, portable satellite stations and mobile surveillance cameras. The first rescuers and a search dog reach the Gyirong border crossing complex and describe nothing left but ruins.
China's ruling Communist Party leadership, meeting under Xi Jinping, cites "enormous challenges to rescue and emergency response efforts" from "numerous glaciers, glacial lakes, and potential geological hazards." Xi tells Nepali President Ram Chandra Poudel that China is ready to "actively assist Nepal in its rescue efforts."
State broadcaster CCTV, citing the Water Resources Ministry, reports satellite imagery showing the lake at the Purepu Tsangpo river covered 99,000 square meters early Saturday — about 14 football fields — down 21,000 square meters from Thursday as water slowly drains through. China's confirmed death toll rises to seven with 554 still missing. Nearly 500 villagers and construction workers, and all 555 tourists in the area, have been evacuated, Xinhua said.
Reactions
"We're getting '100 year floods' every five to 10 years… the climate risks are evolving faster than our ability to shift the margins on what we think are the horizons of safety," Austin Lord, a senior fellow at the Stimson Center in Washington, told CNN. "With so many unknowns, if we don't start working on them together then we won't make any progress, and we'll just be overwhelmed again next time."
Ruth Gamble, a historian of Tibet at La Trobe University in Australia, said the mountains were "reframed from being what (the states) saw as a backwater or a place of potential ethnic instability… into being a resource," pointing to hydropower, minerals, tourism and military build-out.
Rumors spread that the flood was caused by a dam burst on the Chinese side. The claim has no factual basis, CNN reported, and China's embassy in Nepal called it and accusations of late warnings "fake news," posting on X: "Accusation helps nothing… cooperation save lives."
Experts told The Independent that a warming planet could make such floods routine and threaten water security for millions. A Japan Times editorial called the flood "a warning of tragedies to come."
What's Next
Chinese crews will keep monitoring both barrier lakes; Nepali officials say the flood threat holds until they drain. Nepal does not have direct access to the site for its own real-time monitoring and is relying on updates passed from the Chinese side, CNN reported.
Chinese and Indian officials, at border talks in Beijing on Tuesday, pledged to keep sharing hydrological data and said their roughly biennial meeting on transboundary rivers will be held next month.
The open question, experts say, is whether the disaster changes how the region's governments design, site and scale the next round of high-altitude megaprojects.
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