NYT Poll: Mamdani Holds Huge Lead in Mayor's Race

New York City Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani holds a commanding lead in the race among the four-person field, though the lead narrows in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups, according to a survey released Tuesday.

The New York Times/Siena University poll shows Mamdani leading with 46 percent, more than 20 points over his next closest competitor, former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D), with 24 percent. Republican Curtis Sliwa comes in third with 15 percent, while incumbent Mayor Eric Adams (D) follows with 9 percent.

The latest poll showed 5 percent said they were unsure or didn’t say who they’d support.

If the field were to narrow, the poll shows Mamdani still leading, but by a more modest margin. The closest match-up is between him and Cuomo, the latter of whom has consistently placed second in polling.

Mamdani leads Cuomo by 4 points in a head-to-head, 48 percent to 44 percent, with 3 percent saying they wouldn’t vote and 4 percent saying they were unsure, according to the survey results. In a matchup just with Adams, the Democratic nominee leads by almost the same margin as the four-person race. He’s ahead by 19 points, 55 percent to 36 percent.

The survey shows Mamdani has a significant advantage in likability. He was viewed very or somewhat favorably by 52 percent of respondents and very or somewhat unfavorably by 39 percent.

By contrast, Cuomo’s net favorability is underwater by more than 20 points, and Adams’s by almost 40 points. Sliwa is underwater by almost 20 points as well, the poll found.