Report: US Missile Killed 21 Civilians in Iran
Report: US Missile Killed 21 Civilians in Iran
The News
Lockheed Martin's new Precision Strike Missile — sold as the pinpoint ballistic missile of the future — appears to have killed Iranian civilians standing dozens of yards from where it detonated, according to a review by the conflict monitor Airwars reported by the Associated Press.
Three missiles hit the southern Iranian city of Lamerd on Feb. 28, the first day of the Iran war. They killed at least 21 civilians, including seven children, according to Iranian officials.
Airwars found the blasts killed civilians as far as 50 meters (164 feet) from the detonation point and caused damage more than three times farther out. It is the first group to map the damage radius and estimate the weapon's lethal range.
US Central Command has confirmed firing PrSMs into Iran but denies striking Lamerd.
How the Weapon Works
The PrSM is built to replace the Army Tactical Missile System, in service for decades. Lockheed Martin says ATACMS reaches about 300 kilometers (186 miles); the PrSM can hit targets more than 499 kilometers (310 miles) away.
The key difference is what it throws. Where ATACMS shatter into steel fragments or small bomblets over the target, the PrSM is designed to explode in midair and fire tens of thousands of tungsten pellets in every direction, Airwars and weapons experts say.
Tungsten's density and high melting point mean the pellets hold their shape after detonation, making them extremely lethal and able to pierce soft armor, according to defense journals.
Lockheed Martin has never said how wide the missile's effect is. It has released an animated video modeling a PrSM blast. The company did not respond to an AP request for comment.
The Denials Don't Hold Up, Experts Say
Weapons experts told the AP that a missile captured on security camera video in Lamerd does not match the Iranian Hoveyzeh, which has a rounded engine.
The Israeli military told the AP it did not strike anywhere in Iran as far south as Lamerd on the first day of the war, and experts said Israel's military is not known to field missiles that detonate midair.
Six weapons experts, including two former military officials, told the AP they believe PrSMs struck Lamerd and that Israeli or Iranian weapons were unlikely. All said militaries should avoid firing the PrSM at targets near civilian areas.
Asked about the Airwars and AP findings, Central Command repeated its denial, citing an earlier review of what happened.
Timeline
Three missiles detonate over Lamerd: one above the Shahid Naimi Sports Hall, two above residential neighborhoods. Iranian state media report seven civilians killed at the sports hall site, mostly children, among them three teenage girls playing volleyball and a woman smoking a hookah in front of her house. A separate blast over the Tal-e Khandagh neighborhood kills 2-year-old Avina Barzegar, playing in her yard; Airwars estimates the pellet that struck her traveled 50 meters.
US Central Command posts an image to X that munitions experts say shows a PrSM being fired during the Iran operation.
Central Command touts that PrSMs had been used in Iran in a "historic first," without saying where.
As reports about Lamerd draw attention, a Central Command spokesman says US forces did not launch PrSMs or any weapons into Lamerd on Feb. 28 and do not target civilians, and says footage of one strike suggests an Iranian Hoveyzeh cruise missile.
Adm. Brad Cooper, the Central Command commander, tells Congress the command is investigating only one case of US fire killing civilians: a strike on an Iranian school in Minab.
Airwars' findings are published, verified in part by the AP.
Reactions
"You would be hard-pressed to find a reason to use the PrSM in a densely populated area," said Michael Meier, a former US Army adviser on the laws of war.
"Its proper use should be reserved for things like large concentrations of enemy personnel with hard and soft armor," said Wes Bryant, a former Pentagon adviser on precision warfare and civilian harm mitigation.
"It will kill people outside their homes who aren't protected by walls," said Trevor Ball, a former explosives expert for the US Army.
What's Next
The money is already moving. Since the Lamerd strikes, the Pentagon signed a contract worth more than $4 billion with Lockheed Martin to quadruple PrSM production.
The United Kingdom said in June it had set aside 130 million pounds ($177 million) to buy the weapon. Australia purchased the missiles in 2025 and in April put billions more into the PrSM program.
Central Command has not opened an investigation into Lamerd. The one civilian-harm case it told Congress it is reviewing is the strike on the school in Minab.
More
Airwars is a London-based nonprofit founded more than a decade ago to track civilian deaths from US airstrikes in Syria and Iraq. It has also monitored Gaza and Ukraine. It works from publicly available material — photos, videos, satellite images, social media and news reports — using geolocation software to analyze the evidence.
For Lamerd, it mapped where the missiles detonated, where civilians were reported killed and where damage was visible and consistent with blast patterns, then measured the distances between them. The AP checked the blast radius estimate by measuring from where civilians were killed, per Iranian media reports, to the midair detonation points identified in security camera and other video.
It is still unclear what the intended target in Lamerd was. An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps compound sits nearby, but satellite images showed no damage there. Neither Airwars nor the AP could find any report that military or security personnel were killed or that military infrastructure was hit.
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