Seoul: North Korea Has Up to 120 Warheads

Seoul: North Korea Has Up to 120 Warheads

Editorial engraving of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un at a podium

The News

South Korea's defense minister said Thursday that North Korea is believed to have between 80 and 120 nuclear warheads — far above President Donald Trump's estimate of 57 a day earlier.

Defense Minister Ahn Gyu-back gave the range to lawmakers at a parliamentary committee, while warning that no exact count is possible.

"We usually see it as around 80 to 120, but it is considerably limited to state an exact number," Ahn said.

He later clarified that the figure came from estimates by private research organizations, and that South Korea's military could not officially confirm the numbers.

Timeline

Wednesday:

Trump, speaking at the White House about Kim Jong Un and his plans to meet him later this year, said Kim possessed 57 "very powerful nuclear weapons." Asked whether he would meet Kim this year, Trump said, "Yeah, I will be."

Wednesday night:

Kim Yo Jong, the North Korean leader's sister, issued Pyongyang's first response to Trump's order scaling back the annual U.S.-South Korean military drills, calling the exercises provocative regardless of their size.

Thursday:

Ahn told the parliamentary committee that the generally accepted range is 80 to 120 warheads, and that on Trump's number, "the numbers appear somewhat different."

Reactions

Ahn declined to say whether Trump's reference to 57 warheads amounted to U.S. recognition of North Korea as a nuclear state, saying it would not be appropriate for South Korea's defense minister to comment on the U.S. president's remarks. Asked directly whether Seoul acknowledges the North as nuclear-armed, he said: "We cannot officially acknowledge that."

He also ruled out any change to South Korea's own nuclear posture. "We cannot develop nuclear weapons. Nor should we accept the deployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons," Ahn said, adding that Seoul will continue to rely on the U.S. nuclear umbrella.

From Pyongyang, Kim Yo Jong dismissed the scaled-back drills as a goodwill gesture. "We think it's not worth making comments on that and we have no interest in it at all," she said in a statement carried by state media. "The provocative, aggressive nature of the drills won't change even though their duration and size were reduced." She cited other U.S.-South Korean exercises earlier this year and Seoul's push for nuclear-powered submarines, and denied any recent communications between Trump and her brother — while describing the two leaders' relations as "still excellent."

Trump, pressed by reporters earlier in the week on whether he had spoken with Kim, said Kim had responded to his request for a conversation.

What's Next

Trump says he expects to meet Kim later this year. That would revive diplomacy that collapsed after the unprecedented summits of 2018 and 2019, which broke down over sanctions relief and North Korea's nuclear program.

Pyongyang has not agreed to talks. Kim Yo Jong's statement signals the North wants bigger concessions before returning to the table, even as it avoided its usual harsh rhetoric.

More

South Korea has traditionally avoided publicly disclosing detailed estimates of the North's stockpile, and under its long-standing denuclearization policy it does not recognize Pyongyang as a nuclear weapons state. That makes Ahn's public range unusual — and it lands as Washington scales back the joint drills Trump has described as "hostile" to North Korea.

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