Trump Approval Hits Record Low; Iran Support Sinks
Trump Approval Hits Record Low; Iran Support Sinks
The News
President Donald Trump's job approval is stuck at a record low of 33% and public support for the war with Iran has fallen to 31%, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed Monday.
It is the second Reuters/Ipsos survey in a row to put Trump at 33% — the lowest reading in polls from his first or second term, tying the floor he hit in December 2017.
Separately, an Economist/YouGov projection reported by Mediaite put Trump's net approval at -26 nationwide and in positive territory in only three states.
Trump responded Monday afternoon by calling the numbers "Fake Polls" and part of what he called "Demoralization Operations" aimed at Republican voters.
The numbers
The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,215 US adults nationwide over four days and carries a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction.
Support for US military action against Iran came in at 31%, down from 34% earlier this month and 37% in a March Reuters/Ipsos poll.
The drop was driven by Republicans: 69% of self-identified Republican respondents back the war, down from 77% in March.
Some 83% of Americans said they expect the war to go on "for an extended period of time," up from 80% earlier this month.
Raw Story reported that Trump's approval has fallen below 40% nationwide and that his net job approval is negative in every state except Idaho, West Virginia and Wyoming, while more than 80% of self-identified Republicans still approve of his performance. The Republican Party's own favorability rating has also dropped below 40%.
Timeline
The United States and Israel launch strikes on Iran. Public support for the conflict has stayed below 40% ever since.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 37% of Americans support US military action against Iran, including 77% of Republicans.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 69% of Americans say Trump has not clearly explained the goals of US military involvement in Iran.
Trump's approval slips to 35%, then 33%; support for the war stands at 34%.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll closes with approval at 33% and war support at 31%. Trump attacks the polling on Truth Social the same afternoon.
Reactions
"The Radical Left Democrats are going CRAZY with Fake Polls," Trump wrote Monday afternoon on Truth Social. "They're putting them out at levels never seen before."
He argued the numbers were being pushed to suppress Republican turnout ahead of the midterms: "They're called, 'Demoralization Operations,' where they try to demoralize Republicans so that they don't go out and vote — But the actual Polls are tremendous, and the Spirit in our Country has never been higher."
Trump added: "We're winning against EVERYONE, including Iran, whose Country is in Economic and Military Death Spiral."
On MS NOW's "Morning Joe," co-host Joe Scarborough, a former Republican congressman, and Democratic strategist Jennifer Palmieri said they were astonished by the state-by-state numbers, with the panel singling out a net -25 rating in North Carolina, according to Raw Story and Mediaite.
Mediaite reported that CNN data analyst Harry Enten was stunned enough by the collapse — including a 55-point plunge on the economy among Trump's own voter base — that he double-checked the figures to be sure they were not a mistake.
What's Next
The midterm elections are the real test of whether these numbers translate into votes. Trump's own argument is that they will not — that the polling is designed to keep Republicans home rather than to measure them.
Reuters/Ipsos has been polling the Iran war roughly monthly through 2026, so the next reading will show whether 31% is a floor or a slide still in motion.
More
Two different measures are in play here and they do not say quite the same thing. Reuters/Ipsos, a national survey of adults, has Trump at 33% approval. The Economist/YouGov projection cited on cable Monday is a state-level model that produces net approval — approval minus disapproval — which is why it yields figures like -26 nationally and -25 in North Carolina.
What both show is the same shape: Trump's own party is still with him, and almost no one else is. More than 80% of Republicans approve of his job performance, and 69% back the Iran war — but that Republican war support is itself down eight points since March.
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