Vance Emerges as Trump's 2028 Heir Apparent

Vance Emerges as Trump's 2028 Heir Apparent

JD Vance, the US Vice President, speaking at a podium with his hand raised.
Vice President JD Vance speaks at the Republican midterm convention in Dallas.Illustration: The Frank

The News

Vice President JD Vance left the Republican midterm convention in Dallas looking like President Trump's heir apparent for 2028, after a keynote address that drew chants of "JD 28" from the floor.

A Politico Playbook report cited unnamed sources saying "the president has scaled back his Vance vs. Marco Rubio polling, and is privately changing his tone when talking about Vance in recent months, saying he'll be the nominee."

Secretary of State Marco Rubio, long the other name in that conversation, skipped the convention and has told NBC News he is "not a candidate for anything right now."

Timeline

Sept. 9, 2026

Trump opens the Republican midterm convention in Dallas with a two-hour headline speech. Per Political Wire, citing the Washington Post, Trump praised Vance from the stage the evening before Vance's keynote — the latest sign the president is quietly nodding at him as the party's heir-apparent.

Sept. 10, 2026

Politico reports Trump has scaled back his Vance-vs-Rubio polling and now privately says Vance will be the nominee. A separate Politico item notes delegates chanting "48" at a breakfast meeting, backing Vance to become the 48th president.

Sept. 10, 2026

Vance delivers the closing keynote. A protester waving a Mexican flag heckles him mid-speech; Vance shoots back, "Well, my friend, if you love Mexico so much, get your ass over there," as security removes the man. Trump follows with a 25-minute closer — short by his standards, the New York Post noted.

Rubio recently told a Colombian media outlet, per NBC News: "I don't know what the future holds, but I have no plans at this time." He added that he is "100 percent focused on my job, and I have to be, because I have two jobs" — secretary of state and Trump's interim national security adviser. A source NBC did not name said Rubio is privately telling people he has ruled out a 2028 campaign, but is "keeping his options open for the future."

What Rubio Is Saying

Reactions

Vance did not take the bait on stage. "Let's take care of business this November, then we'll worry about what comes next," he told the chanting crowd, according to the New York Post — unable to conceal a smile.

Convention-goers who spoke to the Post were blunter. "He didn't look like some guy who you're thinking maybe they're grooming [for the presidency]. He looked tonight like he had become the guy," Texas resident Frank McCaffrey said. "After the midterms, they're gonna have to pass the torch to him, and he's ready for it."

"That was the best and smoothest speech I've ever heard him do," said Jim Danner, another Texas attendee. Illinois National Committeewoman Rhonda Bellfort said Vance "knocked it out of the ballpark," adding: "He's been auditioning since day one."

A Vance ally told Politico: "I think every time he speaks publicly, it's a reminder that he's really good at this stuff." A person close to the White House told the outlet: "It is pretty clear that if he runs for president in '28, he will be the nominee."

The San Francisco Chronicle read the same speech differently, describing a Vance who "careened from Scripture-quoting father of a newborn to nativist culture warrior who mocked a protester" — and who is "eyeing 2028, setting up a potential collision with Newsom."

What's Next

Vance has said he won't decide on a presidential run until after the November midterms, and Trump has said publicly it is too early to name an heir — even as he has surveyed people on whether Vance or Rubio would be better.

The midterm campaign is the immediate test. A person close to the White House told Politico that Vance "has proven to be one of the most prolific fundraisers the GOP has," and that his focus on the midterms is smart politics.

More

Vance also used the speech to court conservatives split by the war in Iran, urging them not to hand "the country over to a bunch of crazy people because you happen to disagree with us on a policy issue." Trump addressed the same fissure by stressing the risk of Iran obtaining a nuclear weapon: "I'm right then — I win."

Poll

Should Republicans settle on a 2028 nominee before the midterms?

Yes — Vance is the obvious choice
0.0%
No — wait until after November
0.0%
There should be a real primary
0.0%

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