Arab American Voters Turn on Trump in Michigan
Arab American Voters Turn on Trump in Michigan
The News
Arab American voters who helped deliver Michigan to President Donald Trump in 2024 are moving to Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in this year's Senate race, according to reporting by Politico and Yahoo News.
The shift threatens Republican Mike Rogers, who is already running behind Trump's 2024 numbers in the community.
Hassan Nehme, a former Republican vice chair quoted in the reporting, said the party is "dead in the water" with Arab American voters.
The Numbers
Nearly 400,000 Arab Americans live in Michigan — the highest proportion of any state.
Trump carried Dearborn, the only Arab-majority city in the United States, by six points in 2024.
Rogers lost Dearborn by two points that same year, running behind Trump in the city.
More than 100,000 Jewish voters also live in Michigan, a second community watching this race closely.
Why They Are Leaving
Voters cited the ongoing war in Iran and a slow peace process in Gaza as the reasons for their disillusionment with Trump and his party.
Several Arab American figures who backed Trump in 2024 now say they support El-Sayed, including Imam Husham Al-Husainy and Albert Abbas, who presented Trump with a peace prize in Dearborn.
Reactions
The fight inside the race is over whether Rogers' attacks on El-Sayed amount to legitimate security-based criticism or Islamophobic targeting that pushes Arab American voters away.
Rogers' campaign says he welcomes all Michiganders regardless of faith or background.
El-Sayed apologized Saturday for remarks he made following an attack on a Michigan synagogue.
What's Next
The open question is whether Arab American dissatisfaction turns into organized turnout for El-Sayed or simply into Republicans staying home.
The other is how Jewish voters weigh El-Sayed's past statements against their own doubts about Rogers, and which way that bloc breaks.
Republicans fear the seat — and with it Senate control — is slipping, according to the reporting.
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