Bessent Vows Unseen Iran Squeeze as Blockade Bites

Bessent Vows Unseen Iran Squeeze as Blockade Bites

Treasury official at a podium vowing firm action, hand raised mid-gesture

The News

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the United States is about to hit Iran with economic pressure it has never faced, telling Newsmax on Aug. 13 that measures are coming "as soon as next week."

"It will be a combination of economic isolation like the world has never seen before, and the continued blockade in the Strait of Hormuz that will keep anything from going in or out of the Iranian ports," Bessent said, without elaborating.

President Donald Trump followed on Friday with his own vow to hit Iran hard economically, Reuters reported.

The catch, analysts say, is that the easy targets are gone. Iran is already under a U.S. naval blockade and thousands of sanctions, and most of the remaining levers risk blowing back on the American economy or on relations with Beijing.

What's Left to Hit

Chinese refiners. Bloomberg reports China buys more than 90% of Iran's oil exports; Reuters, citing 2025 data from analytics firm Kpler, puts China's share of Iran's shipped oil above 80%. Much of it is absorbed by independent "teapot" refineries that account for about a quarter of Chinese refining capacity. Washington has already sanctioned some teapots, but sanctions experts told Reuters those refiners are partly immune because they have little exposure to the U.S. financial system.

Chinese banks. Treasury has warned two larger Chinese banks they could face secondary sanctions if Iranian funds were found moving through their systems, but has stopped short of designating them; U.S. officials have not publicly named the banks. Experts say hitting them would chill bigger institutions — and could trigger retaliation from Beijing, including curbs on critical mineral exports, ahead of an expected Trump–Xi Jinping meeting later this year.

Exchange houses. Iran still needs intermediaries — many in countries such as the United Arab Emirates — to convert oil payments, often received in Chinese yuan, into usable currency. Treasury has already sanctioned Iranian exchange houses under Bessent's "Economic Fury" campaign for allegedly laundering billions.

Secondary sanctions and tariffs. Washington could threaten any firm doing even limited business with Iran, the approach Trump took toward North Korea in 2017. That would squeeze companies in Russia, China and U.S. partners such as Turkey. Trump floated 25% tariffs on countries doing business with Iran in January and has not followed through; the Supreme Court struck down the legal basis for such tariffs.

Seizing assets. The U.S. could try to confiscate — not just freeze — Iranian state assets under its jurisdiction, as the Bush administration did after the 2003 Iraq invasion. The pool within U.S. reach may be small, and seizing money held in third countries would require foreign cooperation.

A land blockade. U.S. and Israeli officials have floated cutting off Iran's land borders, which would require help from Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Armenia. Trump has leverage over Pakistan, which recently sought a $10 billion currency swap line from Treasury, and Turkey, which wants back into the F-35 program.

Timeline

Late February 2026:

The U.S. war against Iran begins; Washington layers on maritime, energy and financial sanctions and starts a naval blockade. The fighting runs 40 days.

January:

High inflation and a currency crash trigger widespread protests in Iran, followed by a brutal crackdown. Trump threatens 25% tariffs on countries doing business with Iran.

May:

Beijing orders Chinese companies not to comply with U.S. sanctions on five refiners, leaving its biggest banks caught between the directive and the risk of losing access to the U.S. financial system.

Aug. 7:

The U.S. sanctions Iranian digital exchanges. Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control has now sanctioned more than 1,000 people, vessels and aircraft since Trump's second term began, including shadow-fleet tankers, shipping insurers and weapons procurement networks — freezing an estimated $500 billion in Iran-linked cryptocurrency.

Aug. 13:

Bessent tells Newsmax the isolation campaign will be unlike anything the world has seen.

Aug. 14:

Trump vows to hit Iran hard economically.

Reactions

Iran's business class is warning the squeeze is worse than the war was. Majidreza Hariri, head of the Iran-China Joint Chamber of Commerce, told Iran's Khabar Online outlet that "the consequences of the blockade far outweigh those of a direct war," and that the shortages now hitting Iran are more severe than during the 40-day war.

Hariri put numbers on it: shipping a single container between Iran and China costs about $3,000 by sea and roughly $12,000 overland. With 2 million containers moving through Iran's southern ports each year, he estimated about $18 billion in added transport costs annually. Trying to work around the blockade, he said, is "the worst thing that could happen today" — and would leave the economy to eventually grind to a halt.

He also warned Tehran must not let Washington think it can do this at will: "We must also eliminate the perception in the U.S. that it can resort to such an action whenever it wants."

American analysts are more skeptical that any of it changes Tehran's mind. "Unless the president decides to prioritize addressing the Iran threat over all other issues, and namely China, it's unlikely any action they take is going to materially change Iran's calculus," Bloomberg Economics analyst Chris Kennedy said.

Brett Erickson of Obsidian Risk Advisors called the current approach "whack-a-mole," telling Reuters that Tehran simply spins up new entities to replace sanctioned ones. Miad Maleki of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies said Bessent was likely signaling sharper enforcement against oil shippers, buyers and currency exchangers, with further aviation sanctions possible.

What's Next

Bessent has promised action within days. The New York Times reports the U.S. and Iran are poised to blow past a deadline they set themselves to broker terms on peace and Iran's nuclear program.

On Capitol Hill, the Senate passed a sweeping Russia sanctions bill last week that also carries new Iran sanctions and new tariff powers Trump could aim at countries aiding Iran's commerce and weapons buying. It still needs the House, where Democrats and some Republicans have balked at the tariff provisions.

Watch the Trump–Xi meeting expected later this year: it is the main reason officials have held back from designating major Chinese banks.

Why Americans Should Care

Every option on Bessent's list runs through the oil market. Choking off Iranian barrels pulls discounted crude out of global supply and can push already elevated prices higher — and experts caution that Iran's government is prepared to wait out hardship longer than the American public will tolerate expensive gasoline. Crude has eased from last month's highs, which buys Trump time to let the blockade work. Salon reports U.S. oil reserves have hit a new low even as the economy wobbles.

Trump is betting the blockade can do what the bombing did not: force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran says the strait is already shut; the administration says roughly 9 million barrels a day are still getting out.

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