Big Island Declares Emergency as Moke Passes South

Big Island Declares Emergency as Moke Passes South

The News

The storm was forecast to make its closest pass late Saturday night into early Sunday, Hawaii time. What it actually did is not yet on the record.

Hawaii County Mayor C. Kimo Alameda declared a local state of emergency for the Big Island ahead of Tropical Storm Moke, warning of "an imminent danger or threat of an emergency or disaster," according to the emergency proclamation posted by the county.

The National Weather Service warned that Moke's rainfall "may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides" on the windward and southeast portions of Hawaii Island, especially in steep terrain and in areas hit by Hurricane Lala a week earlier, the proclamation says.

One thing up front: as of publication, every number below is a forecast. The newest copy available from the Associated Press, PBS NewsHour, CBS News, the Los Angeles Times and the Hawaii Tribune-Herald was filed before Moke's closest approach. No rainfall totals, outage counts, road or school closures, injuries or new evacuations from Moke had been reported.

The center was forecast to pass roughly 200 miles south of Hawaii Island late Saturday night into early Sunday — farther out than Lala, which tracked about 30 miles off the island, according to the Hawaii Tribune-Herald.

What was forecast

  • Rainfall of 5 to 10 inches, locally up to 15 inches, over the windward and southeast slopes of the Big Island.
  • East-northeast winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph, strongest over mountain ridges and gaps.
  • A flood watch for the entire island of Hawaii, issued 3:06 a.m. HST Saturday and running until 6 p.m. HST Monday.
  • A wind advisory for Kohala, Big Island Interior, South, Southeast and North, from noon Saturday until 6 p.m. HST Sunday.
  • Swells generating life-threatening surf and rip currents along exposed east- and south-facing shores into the following week.

The county proclamation also cautions that flood-prone roads and low-lying areas may close, that urban areas may see more significant flooding from rapid runoff, and that winds of that strength can knock down power lines and cause outages.

Timeline

5 a.m. HST Saturday

Where the storm was

Citing NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Forecast Discussion Number 9, issued at 5 a.m. HST Saturday, the county proclamation placed Moke near 14.8 degrees north, 150.2 degrees west, moving west-northwest at about 10 knots with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph. Forecasters expected it to strengthen to near 60 mph before gradually weakening beginning Sunday.

What's Next

What we don't know yet

Whether any of the forecast came true. The Frank will update this story when rainfall totals, outage figures and damage assessments from Moke are published.

More

Why a glancing storm is dangerous here

Because the ground is already full. "It will not take a significant amount of rain to cause flash flooding due to saturated grounds from recent heavy rain," NWS forecasters said in a statement quoted by the Hawaii Tribune-Herald.

Kevin Kodama, a retired NWS Honolulu hydrologist, wrote in his "Mauka Showers" blog that the southeastern Big Island "is very fragile right now so any heavy rainfall over residually saturated soils could produce flash flooding quicker than usual." He added that drainage channels from Kapapala to Waiohinu are "filled with rocks and debris, reducing channel capacity," and that temporary roads spanning channels with washed-out bridges are at significant risk.

Moke is also a wide storm. AccuWeather meteorologist Alex DaSilva told the Tribune-Herald its rain bands extend about 200 miles farther north from the eye than Lala's did.

The ground Moke landed on

Lala dumped more than three feet of rain on the Big Island a week earlier, according to reporting in the Wire cluster.

Governor Josh Green's second proclamation on Lala, issued Aug. 20, declared a statewide state of emergency with a disaster relief period running through Oct. 19, and found that entire communities in Hawaii County were cut off from road access and that more than 250,000 customers lost power, the county proclamation says.

Hawaii County Civil Defense had received 544 reports of residential damage and 56 of commercial damage from Lala as of late Friday afternoon, the Tribune-Herald reported. Hawaiian Electric, with crews brought in from Southern California Edison, cut the number of Big Island customers without power from about 13,000 Thursday morning to about 9,600 late Friday afternoon.

County personnel, equipment and funds "remain committed to ongoing Lala response and recovery operations," the Moke proclamation states — debris clearance, road repair, damage assessment and sheltering — while the new storm arrives.

UMass Dartmouth Running Back, 18, Stabbed to Death

Trump Vows 'AI Force,' Czar; Polls Name Change

Iran Sends Trump Three Conditions to End War

Faulty AI Intel Nearly Started War With China

German General Breuer Elected NATO's Top Officer

Nobel Laureate: War, Sanctions Crushing Iranians

Dutch Police Disperse Violent Far-Right Hague Protest

GOP Midterm Odds Fade With 45 Days Left

Maher Rejects Tarlov's Claim Democrats Are Less Crazy

Patrick Clancy Breaks Silence After Ex-Wife Killed Kids

Trump Cuts Park Staff, Diverts Fees to DC

Holocaust Heirs Sue LA Museums Over Looted Art

Trump's Fed Chair Hikes Rates, Defying White House

Miller Drives Push to Deport Illegal Immigrant Children

US Lifts Sanctions on Eritrea's Military, Ruling Party

Air Force Admits US Has Space Weapons

Turkey Revokes License of Iran's Mellat Bank

Billionaire Ratcliffe Blasts Britain Over Immigration, Taxes

Navajo Nation Flash Flood Kills Three

Explosions Over Riyadh Trigger Saudi Air Alerts