Experts Warn AI, Drones Fuel Next Terror Wave

Experts Warn AI, Drones Fuel Next Terror Wave

Massive smoke clouds rising over a cityscape in daytime.
Smoke billows over a cityscape as analysts warn of evolving terrorist threats.Illustration: The Frank

The News

Twenty-five years after the Sept. 11 attacks, terrorism analysts say the threat to the United States has not shrunk — it has splintered and gone high-tech.

Security experts marking the 25th anniversary of 9/11 warn that artificial intelligence, cheap drones and encrypted messaging apps now give terrorists capabilities that did not exist in 2001 — and that Washington has not caught up.

The global jihadi movement is fractured and lacks the capacity to mount an operation as sophisticated as 9/11, analysts told Semafor, but they argue Western societies face equally dangerous threats from those technologies.

Writing in Foreign Policy, experts said the West should ask how its own "innovations are continuously misused by terrorists against it," calling AI, encrypted platforms and drones "force multipliers" for bad actors — an echo of the 9/11 Commission's "failure of imagination."

Council on Foreign Relations analysts were blunter: the "gap between the drone threat and the response is significant and... remains unaddressed."

The New Threat Map

A Center for Strategic & International Studies report in May identified four strains of terrorism now facing the country: anti-government extremism, partisan extremism, jihadism and white supremacy.

Semafor reported that AI has already been used to help plan deadly attacks on US soil. Former New York Police Commissioner Bill Bratton told the New York Daily News the country has not yet seen its first drone terror attack.

"Twenty five years after 9/11 it is an expanding threat, rather than a diminishing one because of the multiplicity of ways things can be carried out," Bratton said. "The good news is there's a lot more tools to work with, but the bad news is [terrorists] also have access to those tools."

Timeline

Sept. 11, 2001

Hijacked airliners bring down the Twin Towers, the attack that reshaped American security policy for a generation.

2002

Incoming NYPD Commissioner Raymond Kelly creates the first counterterrorism bureau in an American municipal police force. The department has since helped thwart dozens of plots, though accusations of spying on Muslims dogged it for years and brought tighter oversight.

2004

A think tank report led by New York University professor John Gershman criticizes the Bush administration's post-9/11 counterterrorism policies.

November 2022

Two armed men are arrested at Penn Station in New York; authorities said they were a threat to Jews and planned to target a synagogue.

July 2025

Michael Gann, 55, who said online he was bothered by immigration in the city, is accused in an indictment of building bombs, placing some atop Manhattan residential buildings and throwing one onto subway tracks at the Williamsburg Bridge. None detonated.

March 2026

At a protest outside Gracie Mansion led by far-right activist Jake Lang, two ISIS-inspired counter-protesters are arrested as they try to set off an explosive device.

May 15, 2026

The head of an Iranian-backed militia is charged with plotting to attack a Manhattan synagogue.

Aug. 20, 2026

Jessica Bowie, 35, of Albany is charged with planning an ISIS-inspired bombing of the New York State Capitol, telling informants she wanted to kill as many lawmakers as possible, according to court papers. The FBI credited automated license plate-reading cameras with helping lead to her arrest.

Sept. 10-11, 2026

Anniversary assessments from the Council on Foreign Relations, CSIS-cited analysts and former officials warn of an AI- and drone-enabled next wave.

Reactions

The New York Post's editorial page argued the Global War on Terrorism worked: Americans "remained safe here at home in the 25 years since 9/11 because we took the fight to our enemies — and we refused to let them take the fight to us."

City Journal warned from the right that a "backlash against modern counterterrorism tools poses a serious challenge to our ability to protect the nation," arguing distrust of technology is undermining national security.

Gershman said coordination between the FBI and other agencies is far better than in 2001, but faulted the Trump administration for cuts and diverted resources. "They have re-directed FBI agents to doing immigration enforcement and other things, and away from counterterrorism, redirected DEA agents into supporting ICE," he said.

Donna Lieberman, head of the New York Civil Liberties Union, said the civil-liberties cost exceeded her worst fears from 2001: "My fears about what lay ahead as a result of the attacks pale by comparison to what we have seen." She called the policy response to the surveillance state "pathetic."

On the left, MSNBC argued America has "already walked away from many of those painful lessons," and Rolling Stone wrote that the country is more divided, the world less secure, and bedrock principles eroding 25 years on.

The Cipher Brief framed the open question differently: the mystery is why no attack of comparable scale has happened since — and why new motivations, better delivery methods and AI-devised payloads mean there is "no cause for complacency."

What's Next

Bowie's federal prosecution and the Manhattan synagogue plot case move through the courts.

The fight over counterterrorism tools is the live policy question: automated license plate readers are now used by several thousand law enforcement agencies, and critics across the political spectrum are pressing for limits on mass surveillance and data collection.

Bratton argued the pressure will not ease on its own. "Until there's a large-scale terrorist incident in this country again the country as a whole I don't think is thinking about it," he said.

More

Police work now spans the damage a lone gunman could do in Times Square, a Boko Haram commander discussing how AI could help plan an attack, and heightened fear of attacks on synagogues amid rising antisemitism — a concern sharpened because Sept. 11 falls on Shabbat this year, the New York Daily News reported.

Groups such as ISIS have shifted to inspiring self-radicalized attackers, producing more diffuse plots in big cities, suburbs and small towns alike.

Bratton called license plate readers "a great technology" but said agencies, especially in smaller towns, are often not transparent about their use and lack clear rules.

Poll

Twenty-five years after 9/11, are Americans safer?

Yes — no attack on that scale since
0.0%
No — the threat just changed shape
0.0%
Safer, but at too high a cost to liberty
0.0%

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