Lake Powell Hits Record Low, Threatening Hydropower

Lake Powell Hits Record Low, Threatening Hydropower

The News

Lake Powell, the second-largest reservoir in the United States, fell to a record low of 3,519.91 feet above sea level on Saturday, according to Bureau of Reclamation data published Sunday.

That breaks the previous record of 3,519.92 feet, set in April 2023.

The reservoir is now just under 30 feet above "minimum power pool" — 3,490 feet — the level at which Glen Canyon Dam can no longer spin its turbines and generate electricity.

"We are in uncharted territory," said Jack Schmidt, director of the Center for Colorado River Studies at Utah State University.

What It Means for Power and Water

Glen Canyon Dam's eight turbines produce enough electricity each year to power nearly 500,000 households, and are relied on by Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada and Nebraska.

Brad Udall, a senior water and climate research scientist at Colorado State University, said that "scary threshold" will be reached this year unless "extraordinary measures" are taken — including cuts to water releases from Lake Powell and upstream.

The worse scenario is "deadpool," below 3,370 feet, at which no water flows downstream from the dam at all. Schmidt said he would expect "draconian steps to decrease water use to prevent this from occurring. But who knows?"

Downstream, the Colorado River supplies water to roughly 40 million people and irrigates more than 5 million acres of farmland across seven states: California, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, Wyoming, Colorado and Utah. The river has shrunk by roughly 20% since 2000.

Timeline

1950s:

Glen Canyon Dam is built, spanning parts of Arizona and Utah.

1963:

Lake Powell begins filling; it takes 17 years to reach its full pool of 3,700 feet.

April 2023:

Powell sets what was, until now, its record low — 3,519.92 feet.

Winter 2025–26:

One of the driest and warmest winters on record for the western US, starving the reservoir of snowmelt.

July 31, 2026:

With state negotiations stalled, federal authorities step in on Colorado River cuts.

August 7, 2026 (nine days before Powell's record):

Downstream Lake Mead, the country's largest reservoir, drops to its lowest level since it was first filled nine decades ago.

August 15, 2026:

Powell hits 3,519.91 feet — the new record low.

Reactions

The Bureau of Reclamation said it and the Interior Department remain "committed to reducing the collective risk of both Lake Powell and Lake Mead falling below critical elevations to protect critical infrastructure to continue to meet the water and hydropower needs of the basin."

Sarah Porter, director of the Kyl Center for Water Policy at Arizona State University, said cities like Phoenix and Tucson "are extremely aware that they are first in line for cuts" and have lined up backup supplies. Tribes and smaller communities along the river, she said, may not be able to pay for alternatives.

Experts quoted by CNN do not currently see a risk of taps running dry — the Colorado is a slow-moving crisis, and water managers have been preparing.

What's Next

Federal authorities are expected to publish a plan in the coming days specifying the exact water reductions required of the seven basin states through 2028, after years of failed negotiations among them.

An El Niño pattern this winter tends to bring more rain and snow to the Southwest. But as Porter put it: "Even record snowpack this winter will not be enough to get us out of the danger zone."

More

Lakes Mead and Powell are essentially one enormous reservoir separated by the Grand Canyon, and together they hold just under 60% of all water currently stored in the Colorado River basin. Both have been shrinking for more than 20 years, leaving the "bathtub ring" marks visible along Powell's canyon walls.

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