Michigan GOP Nominee Bets Campaign on Trump Tariffs

Michigan GOP Nominee Bets Campaign on Trump Tariffs

Mike Rogers, Michigan Republican Senate nominee, speaking at a podium
Mike Rogers, the Michigan Republican Senate nominee, defends Trump's Canada tariffs at a campaign event.Illustration: The Frank

The News

Michigan Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers is defending part of President Donald Trump's trade war with Canada as "necessary" — a bet that puts him at odds with Republicans in other border states as Canada's counter-tariffs hit his home state.

The former congressman argues his relationship with Trump gives him leverage to end the fight, POLITICO reported. Michigan does roughly $80 billion in trade with Ontario each year, according to the Michigan Chamber of Commerce.

Other northern Republicans have gone the other way. Maine Sen. Susan Collins says the White House "has very much underestimated the impact on Maine families, on small manufacturers, on our agricultural products."

The Numbers

Roughly $1.3 billion in Michigan exports face Canada's new counter-tariffs — one of the highest totals of any state, according to a POLITICO analysis. The duties range from 15 to 50 percent. The auto industry alone is about a quarter of Michigan's gross domestic product and employs hundreds of thousands of people.

Timeline

Feb. 10, 2026

Rogers backs Trump's threat to shut down the new Gordie Howe bridge between Detroit and Windsor, Ontario, saying the president needs "leverage to stop thousands and thousands and thousands of Chinese-made cars pouring over the bridge."

August 2026

Trump's new tariffs on Canadian goods take effect. Rogers issues a statement calling some of them "necessary."

Aug. 26, 2026

POLITICO reports an auto industry executive, granted anonymity, calling Trump's threat of a 50 percent tariff on Canadian autos and parts starting Jan. 1 "cataclysmic" for the sector.

Aug. 31, 2026

Rogers appears at a Sterling Heights, Michigan, rally with Vice President JD Vance hosted by the pro-Trump super PAC MAGA Inc.

Sept. 2, 2026

Rep. John James, the GOP nominee for Michigan governor, says he does not want the state to be "a pawn in these trade negotiations."

Sept. 8, 2026

Canada's counter-tariffs take effect. POLITICO reports Collins has raised the tariffs with Vance and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, but not with Trump himself, and that the White House has shown little sign of relenting.

Reactions

Rogers told Fox News Channel's "Fox & Friends" that his ties to Trump are an asset: "You can send somebody back who gets up every day and tries to gouge the president's eyes out or you can send somebody back who's going to walk in and say, 'Hey, can we work on this part of the trade deal?' The Canadians have not been good partners on this."

United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain rejected the escalation: the union "rejects any escalation on Canada, a country with strong unions and labor standards," he said. "If we're going to increase tariffs anywhere, it should be on countries where automakers continue to offshore jobs because they can pay workers $3 an hour, force them to work in unsafe conditions, and crack down on independent unions."

Jim McFerran, chair of the Wayne County Republican committee, said the politics are brutal because the case has never been made well: "If you've gotta explain what's going on in tariffs, the longer you explain it, the more you're losing." He said the president has done a poor job of laying out how Canada has been an unfair trade partner.

Gus Ghanam, chair of the Macomb County Republican Party, backed Rogers' stance but conceded defending higher prices in an election year is "a tough thing to say to somebody." His pitch: "You might have a little discomfort now, but in the end, you're gonna be happy."

Jason Roe, a Michigan GOP strategist and former state party executive director, said the tit-for-tat "further undermines [Republicans'] ability to make a strong argument on the affordability issue." He suspects the administration "would probably give Michigan Republicans a little bit of latitude" to break with Trump.

Jarrett Skorup, a spokesman for the free-market Mackinac Center for Public Policy, said Michigan Republicans are "trying to kind of take a middle ground" — arguing for tougher trade policy without defending every tariff, "particularly this latest round."

What's Next

Rogers is one of two Senate candidates with a confirmed speaking role at the Republican midterm convention Trump is hosting later this week in Dallas.

Trump's threatened 50 percent tariff on Canadian autos and parts is set for Jan. 1. Michigan Democrats are increasingly making the Canada trade war a centerpiece of the Senate race ahead of November.

More

Rogers' campaign pointed reporters to his August statement on the Canada tariffs and to Detroit-based General Motors' plan to shift $4 billion in production from Mexico to three U.S. plants, including one in Orion Township, Michigan — which the campaign called a product of Trump's trade agenda.

He has also tried to tie the Canada fight to Chinese imports, arguing Beijing could use Canada as a conduit to flood the U.S. market with cheap cars.

The cross-border supply chain is the complication. Ford's F-Series Super Duty truck is built in a new plant in Oakville, Ontario, with a transmission from Ohio, axles from Michigan and an engine from Ontario. "Products will move back and forth across the Michigan-Ontario border, potentially multiple times during the food production process," said Chuck Lippstreu, president of the Michigan Agri-Business Association.

Poll

Should Republicans in border states break with Trump on the Canada tariffs?

Yes — the tariffs are hurting their voters
0.0%
No — hold the line on trade
0.0%
Split the difference, like Rogers
0.0%

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