NYC Probes Prediction Markets Over Deceptive Ads

NYC Probes Prediction Markets Over Deceptive Ads

The News

The New York City Council is investigating four major prediction market platforms — Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan — over allegedly deceptive marketing that targets young people.

Council Speaker Julie Menin sent letters to the four companies announcing a formal probe into their advertising practices and social harms.

The inquiry opens a new front in a bitter, state-by-state legal war over how the booming industry should be regulated.

Timeline

June 2026

A Wall Street Journal report alleged Polymarket used influencers to fake winning bets.

Earlier

New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit against Kalshi, Coinbase, and Gemini, alleging they operate illegal gambling platforms in the state.

Aug. 12, 2026

The City Council announced its probe, with Menin's letters demanding responses from all four companies.

Reactions

Menin said the council is actively considering legislation to address its concerns about the platforms.

Council members allege the companies use predatory marketing tactics aimed at young adults, and note prediction markets face none of the advertising restrictions imposed on casinos or licensed sports-betting operators.

The industry has argued its platforms are federally regulated financial exchanges under the CFTC — not gambling operations subject to state law. That divide is the core of the dispute.

What's Next

The council plans a hearing, and the companies must respond to its information requests.

The council can pursue consumer-protection legislation, public education campaigns, and funding, but cannot bring criminal charges.

James's separate lawsuit against Kalshi, Coinbase, and Gemini continues in court.

In Congress, lawmakers are weighing the bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, which would redefine the platforms.

More

The council probe explicitly excludes whether the platforms violate New York state gambling laws.

Twenty-three states currently prohibit wagering on elections. Attorneys note it remains legally unclear whether federal CFTC jurisdiction covers the sports-betting activity that drives much of prediction-market volume.

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