Report: Netanyahu Ignored UAE Warning Before Oct. 7

Report: Netanyahu Ignored UAE Warning Before Oct. 7

Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli Prime Minister, in a hedcut engraving.
Benjamin Netanyahu, Israeli Prime Minister, at a desk during remarks.Illustration: The Frank

The News

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was personally warned by the president of the United Arab Emirates that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was planning a major attack roughly 10 days before the Oct. 7, 2023 massacre — and never passed the warning to Israel's security chiefs, according to a report published Tuesday by the Israeli newspaper Haaretz.

The report is excerpted from a forthcoming book, "Hostages: 843 Days of Abandonment," by journalists Shlomi Eldar and Ruth Yuval.

Netanyahu's office called it "an absolute lie" and denied the call ever happened. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said he knows "for a fact the report is true."

The Claim

Haaretz, citing three senior foreign sources familiar with the exchange, says UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan called Netanyahu from the presidential palace in Abu Dhabi and spoke with him for about 45 minutes, warning that Sinwar was preparing a major move that could cause bloodshed, destabilize the region and even damage the Abraham Accords.

Netanyahu, according to the report, took the warning calmly, said he believed Hamas intended to act in the West Bank, and assured bin Zayed that Israel was prepared for any scenario.

Former Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar and former IDF chief of staff Herzi Halevi both told Haaretz they were never informed of the conversation.

Timeline

September 2023

Sinwar tells a former Palestinian official, who had contacts with both Hamas and Israeli security officials, that he is preparing a "zilzal," or earthquake, later calling it "the mother of all surprises" and "a terrifying operation," Haaretz reports.

Sept. 15, 2023

That intelligence reaches the Shin Bet, according to the report. Bar briefs Netanyahu.

Sept. 17, 2023

Two days later, Bar warns in a security assessment that Israel is "on a collision course," recommending either offensive action or stronger defenses around Gaza and the West Bank, Haaretz reports.

Late September 2023

About a week and a half before the attack, bin Zayed calls Netanyahu. The Emirati leader's source was a close adviser, a Palestinian who had emigrated from Gaza to Abu Dhabi years earlier and kept contacts in the Strip. Bin Zayed also urges an economic solution in Gaza and lower tensions in the West Bank, and later tells then-CIA Director William Burns that "something is about to explode."

Around the same period

Egyptian intelligence chief Abbas Kamel separately contacts Netanyahu to warn that Hamas is planning "something unusual, a terrifying operation," per Haaretz.

Oct. 1, 2023

Bar meets Netanyahu and recommends a targeted assassination of Sinwar plus strikes on other senior Hamas figures, telling him the Shin Bet had identified that Hamas was "preparing something extreme" and using the word "earthquake," a security source told The Jerusalem Post. Netanyahu does not accept the recommendation. Haaretz reports he mentioned neither the Emirati nor the Egyptian call during that day's security discussion on Hamas and Gaza.

Oct. 7, 2023

Hamas storms into Israel, killing 1,221 people including a mass killing at a music festival, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures, and dragging 251 hostages into Gaza, 44 of them already dead.

Sept. 8, 2026

Haaretz publishes the account. Netanyahu's office denies it; opposition leaders call him unfit to serve.

Reactions

"An absolute lie! Prime Minister Netanyahu did not speak with the president of the United Arab Emirates during the period in question and did not receive any warning from him," the Prime Minister's Office said in a comment to The Jerusalem Post.

Bennett, a former prime minister now running against Netanyahu, told Tel Aviv radio station 103FM that he knew the report was accurate. "Mohammed bin Zayed of the Emirates warned Netanyahu that Sinwar was planning an operation. Abbas Kamel, the head of Egyptian General Intelligence, also warned Netanyahu days before the massacre that a major operation was being planned," he said. "I don't want to talk about my relationship with anyone. I'm telling you that I know this fact is true." He added that Netanyahu "bears personal and direct responsibility" for the deaths and "cannot continue to serve in his position for even one more minute."

Gadi Eisenkot, a former military commander who has emerged as Netanyahu's top rival in the election, accused him of dodging responsibility with "pathetic" excuses, such as saying he was not woken up soon enough on the morning of the attack. "Netanyahu received dozens of warnings for October 7 and ignored them all. He is unfit," Eisenkot wrote on X.

President Isaac Herzog, who is close to bin Zayed, told Haaretz the Emirati leader was worried before the war: "He spoke to me about it a lot in the months before the war."

Israel's security establishment pushed back on a related point, telling The Jerusalem Post that the intelligence picture on the night of Oct. 6-7 was partial, that some of it was consistent with routine activity in Gaza, and that there was not enough time to move forces or mount a disruption operation even if Netanyahu had been woken.

What's Next

Israelis vote on Oct. 27, with Eisenkot and Bennett both running against Netanyahu — and the question of who ignored what before Oct. 7 now at the center of the campaign.

The full account is set to appear in Eldar and Yuval's book, "Hostages: 843 Days of Abandonment." Netanyahu's office has denied the central allegation and has not said whether it will take further action against the newspaper.

More

The UAE normalized ties with Israel in 2020 under the Abraham Accords, brokered by the United States during President Donald Trump's first term. Netanyahu has treated that relationship as a signature achievement, which is part of why a warning from Abu Dhabi carries weight.

For years before the attack, Netanyahu sought to preserve the status quo with Hamas, which received funding via Qatar on the understanding that the group was more interested in self-preservation than a devastating war with Israel.

Israel's offensive in response has left most of Gaza in ruins and killed 73,658 people, according to the Gaza health ministry, which is under Hamas authority and whose figures the United Nations considers reliable.

Haaretz, which leans left, quoted mostly anonymous sources for the account.

Poll

Who do you believe about the pre-Oct. 7 warning?

The Haaretz report and Bennett
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