Spanish Spies Warned of Ceuta Breach Day Before

Spanish Spies Warned of Ceuta Breach Day Before

A declassified Spanish intelligence document with official markings and redacted sections
Spain's National Intelligence Centre declassified a warning issued July 29 about planned crossings into Ceuta.Illustration: The Frank

The News

Spain's spy agency warned both Moroccan intelligence and the Spanish government a day before more than 70,000 people stormed into the North African enclave of Ceuta, according to documents the government declassified on Wednesday.

In a July 29 note to Morocco's DGST and DGED intelligence services, Spain's National Intelligence Centre (CNI) flagged plans circulating on social media for migrants to scale Ceuta's border fence or swim around it, timed to Morocco's annual Throne Day holiday, Reuters reported.

The same day, the CNI alerted the Spanish government's representative in Ceuta by WhatsApp to "a call on social media for an assault on the fence and by sea tomorrow at 8 p.m.," according to the declassified messages published by The Independent.

The files cut against Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's account of how much warning his government had.

The Numbers

The CNI told the Ceuta delegation the calls were spreading through "two different groups with a total of 180,000 followers." NGOs estimate 140 people died in the surge. Six weeks on, more than 10,000 migrants, including unaccompanied minors, are still in Ceuta in makeshift camps or on its streets and beaches, local authorities say. Madrid released 40 intelligence reports, alerts and communications covering July 1-31.

Timeline

July 25, 2026

Spain's defence ministry later logs the start of a developing crisis, with about 1,700 migrants arriving by sea from Morocco and "more intrusions" expected "in the very short-term." An internal presentation describes the Moroccan coast near Ceuta as "migratory chaos."

July 29, 2026

The CNI warns Morocco's DGST and DGED of plans to storm the enclave, and alerts Spain's representative in Ceuta and the Civil Guard about "several groups on Facebook and WhatsApp encouraging these attempts." That night, the agency reports, several hundred migrants swim across.

July 30-31, 2026

More than 70,000 people cross into Ceuta. A July 30 Interior Ministry report describes passivity by Moroccan border police, who were due to add 1,000 police and soldiers at the border despite the public holiday. The CNI notes "no proactive response from Moroccan authorities ... beyond the deployment of a few riot control units."

Early September 2026

Sanchez says Spain found no evidence the border rush was orchestrated by Moroccan authorities, contradicting allegations in a Spanish police report.

Sept. 9, 2026

The government publishes the declassified trove: letters, WhatsApp transcripts, internal charts and reports from law enforcement and intelligence agencies.

Reactions

Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Albares said the documents show no one flagged how big the surge would be. "I am speaking as Spain's foreign minister, within my remit and based on what I experienced that day. I was not aware of any information of any kind pointing to the magnitude of the avalanche," he told reporters Wednesday.

A spokesman from Sanchez's office rejected the idea that the files proved advance warning of a crossing on that scale: "The published documents show that the information available prior to the massive influx did not make it possible to anticipate the magnitude the crisis ultimately reached, nor to gauge the necessary response sufficiently in advance."

Interior Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska said at the time that authorities faced "an extraordinary, exceptional situation" and that the government was "dealing with it with the means that we already have deployed there permanently."

Critics blame Sanchez's government for the crisis, and opponents accuse him of pandering to Rabat by declining to accuse Morocco's government of orchestrating the incident. Major protests have followed the arrivals, with near-daily demonstrations by Ceuta residents angry at Madrid's handling of the crisis. The Moroccan government did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Reuters.

What's Next

The release sharpens scrutiny of the operational decisions made in the hours before the crossing — specifically whether Madrid and Rabat did enough with the warnings they had.

More than 10,000 migrants remain in Ceuta with no resolution announced, and residents' protests continue.

Morocco has not publicly answered the Spanish accounts of its border police standing down on Throne Day.

More

Ceuta is a Spanish city on the North African coast bordering Morocco, making it one of the European Union's only land frontiers with Africa. Both the fence and the sea route were used in the July surge, according to the intelligence notes.

Poll

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