Trump Approval Hits Record Lows in Two Polls

Trump Approval Hits Record Lows in Two Polls

Donald Trump, the 45th president, at a podium with one hand raised mid-gesture.
Donald Trump's job approval hits record lows in two separate polls.Illustration: The Frank

The News

Two national surveys released this weekend put President Donald Trump's job approval at the lowest level each has ever measured, less than two months before the midterm elections.

A Financial Times poll conducted by Focaldata found 33% of registered voters approve of Trump's performance as president — down three points from the previous month and the lowest reading since the FT began asking the question in May, according to the FT's own account of its poll. Focaldata surveyed 1,914 registered voters online from Aug. 28 to Sept. 1, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points, as reported by Newsmax citing the FT.

Separately, the NBC News Decision Desk Poll powered by SurveyMonkey put Trump's overall approval at 36%, with 64% disapproving. USA Today, reporting on NBC's release, called it a record low for NBC's polling this term. That survey covered 7,105 adults online from Aug. 20 to Sept. 1, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points, per NBC's topline as described by Newsweek and USA Today.

The two numbers are not interchangeable. Focaldata polled registered voters; NBC polled adults. Neither pollster published a combined figure, and no average of the two exists.

Where His Own Party Is Softening

The clearest movement in both polls is inside the Republican coalition — not in whether Republicans approve, but how strongly.

NBC found 41% of Republicans "strongly approve" of Trump's job performance, down from 52% in its spring polling. Newsweek reported it is the first time that figure has fallen below 50% in NBC News Decision Desk polling. The share of Republicans who "somewhat approve" rose from 31% to 39%, USA Today reported. Overall Republican approval remains high in that poll: 80% of Republicans and 93% of self-identified MAGA supporters still approve.

In the FT-Focaldata poll, approval among Republican voters slipped by more than two points to 72% — another low for that series — and only 53% of GOP voters backed Trump's handling of jobs and the economy, down nearly eight points from the prior month, according to Newsmax's report on the FT poll.

The Economy And The War

Economic sentiment is the through-line. In the FT poll, nearly two-thirds of registered voters said the economy was headed in the wrong direction, and 57% said they were financially worse off under Trump, up from 53% a month earlier. Fifty-six percent said they disapproved of Trump's 50% tariff on roughly $20 billion in Canadian goods, including more than 60% of independents and nearly a third of Republicans. Democrats led Republicans by 7.5 points on the generic congressional ballot, up from five points a month earlier.

The Center Square's Voters' Voice Poll, conducted by Noble Predictive Insights among 2,533 registered voters from Aug. 12 to 16 (margin of error plus or minus 2.0 points), found 40% approve of Trump's handling of the economy and 58% disapprove — a net minus 17, worse than his overall job rating in the same poll of 42% approve and 56% disapprove. Both measures improved modestly from that poll's June wave, when the economy stood at net minus 23 and overall approval at net minus 18. Federal data cited by The Center Square shows consumer prices up 3.4% over the 12 months ending in July, with the economy growing at a 1.5% annual rate in the second quarter.

On Iran, NBC found 31% of Americans approve of Trump's handling of the war and 69% disapprove — little changed from spring, when it was 33% to 67%. But strong approval among Republicans on the war fell 18 points, to 30%, and among MAGA Republicans it fell 21 points, to 43%, Newsweek reported from the poll.

A separate Newsweek analysis of Civiqs' rolling online tracking poll of registered voters put Trump nationally at 34% approve and 60% disapprove as of Sept. 4, a net minus 26. In that tracker, Newsweek found Trump underwater in every major battleground state, with Wyoming his best state at net plus 15 and Maryland his worst at minus 54. Among voters aged 18 to 34, 21% approved and 72% disapproved. Civiqs recorded Trump at 43% approve and 53% disapprove at a comparable point before the 2018 midterms.

Reactions

Trump has publicly dismissed the midterm math. "For some reason, the voters tend to go the other way. I think we're gonna do very well," he said in an Aug. 30 appearance on Fox News' "Sunday Night In America With Trey Gowdy," as quoted by USA Today.

A White House spokesperson told the FT the administration "remains committed to implementing a proven economic agenda of tax cuts, deregulation and energy abundance," pointing to the August jobs report as evidence of continued private-sector growth.

White House spokesman Davis Ingle, asked about the Voters' Voice findings, pointed to the election rather than the survey: "The ultimate poll was November 5th, 2024, when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump to deliver on his popular and commonsense agenda," he told The Center Square.

Jessica Riedl, described by The Center Square as a budget and tax fellow at the Brookings Institution, said Trump is being measured against his own promises. "Trump promised that on day one prices would sharply fall and economic growth would soar. Instead, growth is stagnant, interest rates are rising, inflation remains too high," she said. "If you brand yourself an immediate deliverer of stunning economic prosperity, voters will expect you to deliver."

Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., said on NBC's "Meet the Press" on Sunday that the Iran war would "probably not" be over by the November midterms, and acknowledged voters are "not especially happy about the war in Iran" as Republicans head into the elections.

What's Next

Trump and Vice President JD Vance are expected next week to address a Republican midterm convention in Dallas — a two-day event the FT described as unprecedented, and which USA Today called the first GOP midterm convention in recent history.

The FT poll suggests the top of the ticket may be a liability there: 46% of voters, including more than half of independents, said Trump was making it harder for Republican congressional candidates to win in November, and 47% of independents said a Trump endorsement would make them less likely to back a candidate.

MAGA Inc., the pro-Trump super PAC, disclosed $10 million in ad spending in a Saturday filing to support Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, the Republican Senate nominee, against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico, per the FT.

More

Other recent readings point the same direction. USA Today noted a Reuters/Ipsos poll released last month that put Trump's approval at 33%. In Wisconsin, the Marquette Law School Poll — conducted Aug. 12 to 20 and released Aug. 26 — found Trump's job approval at 40% with 59% disapproving; poll director Charles Franklin reported that 81% of registered voters there said gasoline prices had risen over the prior six months, and the same share said grocery prices had gone up.

Diesel hit a record national average of $5.85 a gallon on Friday, according to AAA figures cited by the FT, amid disruptions tied to the war with Iran.

Reporting: Financial Times (via Newsmax), NBC News (via USA Today and Newsweek), The Independent, Political Wire, Newsweek, The Center Square.

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