US-Iran War Deal Expires With Talks Frozen

US-Iran War Deal Expires With Talks Frozen

Frozen hourglass on an empty diplomatic table symbolizing expired US-Iran talks

The News

The memorandum of understanding meant to end the US-Iran war expires Monday, with no final deal and no extension in sight.

President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed the deal on June 17 after talks hosted by Pakistan, and it required a "final deal" endorsed by the UN Security Council within a maximum of 60 days.

Both sides have accused the other of violating it for weeks. A senior White House official, speaking anonymously to Politico, described negotiations between Washington and Tehran as "static."

Strikes have paused, but the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to normal traffic and both governments still claim to control it.

What The Deal Promised

Under the agreement, the two countries declared "the immediate and permanent termination of military operations," with the harder questions — including Iran's nuclear program — pushed to a later final deal.

The US was to end its naval blockade within 30 days, pull forces back from near Iran once a final deal was reached, terminate sanctions, issue waivers for Iranian oil exports, release frozen Iranian funds, and begin work on a reconstruction package for Iran of at least $300 billion.

Iran was to clear mines from the Strait of Hormuz and let ships pass with no charge for 60 days, reaffirm it would not seek nuclear weapons, and negotiate on enrichment. The agreement also aimed at ending the conflict in Lebanon.

Timeline

Feb. 28

Trump announced "major combat operations" against Iran, with joint US-Israeli strikes, according to ABC News.

June 17

Trump and Pezeshkian sign the memorandum of understanding in Islamabad, ending more than three months of war that Al Jazeera reports had killed thousands and crippled Gulf commercial shipping.

June 27

Trump calls Iranian strikes in the region "a foolish violation" of the deal. Iran says US strikes "violate Article 1 of the Memorandum of Understanding."

July 7

Trump says the agreement is "over." US attacks continue, including on what Tehran calls civilian infrastructure, killing at least 50 people by Iran's account. Iranian officials say Washington "violated and suspended" its commitments and that Tehran "likewise suspended" its own.

Aug. 11

The Pentagon says it fired on a Panama-flagged cargo vessel in the strait because it "violated the US blockade against Iran."

Aug. 14

Trump tells supporters in New York: "After we finish defeating Iran, which is being very badly defeated, pretty soon I'll be declaring the Hormuz Strait a territory of the United States." Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US will apply measures on Iran that have "never been seen."

Aug. 15

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posts on Telegram: "We have not yet made a decision to restart negotiations with the United States."

Aug. 17

The memorandum expires.

Reactions

Araghchi said Friday that the Islamabad document was "the end of the war, not a ceasefire," and that because the US violated it and kept attacking, "there was no 60-day ceasefire that needed to be extended," according to the Iranian Students' News Agency.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Galibaf told reporters in Tehran on Saturday that the concessions Iran won were "a source of pride and victory." He added: "I can say with complete conviction that we truly emerged victorious in this war, both militarily and politically."

Mostafa Khoshcheshm, a professor at the University of Applied Sciences in Tehran, told Al Jazeera the ceasefire "stopped and was rendered obsolete after the US didn't comply with the terms of the agreement," citing frozen assets, sanctions, the naval blockade and Israel's presence in southern Lebanon.

Barbara Slavin of the Stimson Center told Al Jazeera that Trump has few levers left. "Iran is playing hardball here, clearly furious at the Trump administration for, in its view, not fulfilling the MoU signed back in June," she said. "They're making the international economy and they're making Donald Trump sweat."

The New York Times reports the two countries blew through the deadline appearing far apart. An IRGC official said Tehran can adopt an "offensive aspect," ABC News reported.

What's Next

Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan are still exchanging messages with Iran, and Araghchi said Tehran is working on a separate agreement with Oman on new shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz — but only if a political solution is reached first.

Trump says he plans to formally declare the strait US territory. Bessent has promised unprecedented economic measures.

Slavin predicted the conflict "resolves through a deal, probably after our midterm elections, when there will be less of an impact on the vote," with Iran likely reimbursed for the war and gaining substantial control over the strait.

More

The war is draining American reserves. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve has fallen below 300 million barrels for the first time since it was filled in the early 1980s, according to the Department of Energy, and experts warn the rapid drawdown could damage the caverns that store the oil.

Iran has also hardened its security leadership: former IRGC head Mohsen Rezaei was named this month to run the Supreme National Security Council, a move analysts told Al Jazeera signals a tougher line, especially on Hormuz.

Separately, an Iranian army commander announced a $30,000 bounty on US soldiers, The Independent reported, after Trump's vow to claim the strait.

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